
Remember, huge numbers of traders are looking at these signals and if most of them act on the assumption that price is about to move in a certain direction, it very likely will. When the price is too far from EMA it is often a sign of being overbought or oversold and natural tendency to pull back towards the EMA, making this a high-risk entry. Ideally, we should also look to trade only those crossovers that form at or near areas of horizontal support or resistance. But we should always wait for confirmation from the next candle before entering the trade.
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How to Use Candlesticks, Support and Resistance for ConfirmationĬandlesticks such as hammers and inverted hammers are also good signal candles. And we might then have made a more aggressive entry as the price broke above the top of the previous upswing. This is a swing trade that would have given us a strong 6-day bull move before the price began to consolidate.Įven before the crossover, however, we might have noticed a Doji candle – indicating indecision – as the EA lines began to converge. So, in our EUR/USD example, a strong bull candle formed on the day of the crossover and we could have looked to the four-hour chart to give us a precise entry.

We should, therefore, never enter a trade based on a moving average crossover alone. That said, it’s crucial to remember that they are lagging indicators only and that the higher the number of time periods that are used, the greater the lag will be. This is one of the beauties of EMA indicators – so many traders use them that they almost become self-fulfilling prophecies. It’s also worth noting how the 20 EMA then remains above the 50 EMA – itself a bullish indicator – and goes on to act as resistance when price pulls back and begins to consolidate. Weekly EURUSD Price Chart With 20 and 50 EMA In the example below, taken from the EUR/USD weekly chart, we see the 20 EMA making an upward cross of the 50 EMA, indicating a strengthening uptrend after a bull pennant pattern had formed. How to Trade the Moving Average Crossover The converse, of course, applies to downward crosses. But in a downtrend, it may signal a forthcoming consolidation or even a reversal.

When a shorter-term moving average line crosses a longer-term line, it may be an indication that an existing trend is accelerating or that it is losing momentum or about to reverse.Īnd we can tell which it is by looking at the direction of the cross and the existing trend.Īn upward cross in a bull trend, for example, indicates a strengthening trend. Whether we are using SMAs or EMAs, the key idea underpinning the crossover strategy is the same. And the fewer periods used, the more sensitive the picture will be to recent market sentiment. The key takeaway is that EMAs are likely to give us a better indication of the current direction and strength of a trend than SMAs.
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While the calculation of the EMA can be a little complicated, fortunately, our software will perform them for us instantly and automatically.

In contrast, an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), gives greater importance to closing prices during the more recent periods. They’re not interested in trying to join a trend right at the start or leaving right at the end, the meat in the middle is where their profits come from. Swing traders are focused on profiting from the main part of the trend.

but for swing traders, each period will likely be 4 hours or one even one trading day. Each ‘period’ represents a period of time, for example, 5 minutes, 10 minutes, 2 hours, etc. In essence, a Simple Moving Average (SMA) is an expression of the average closing price of a financial instrument over a particular number of periods.Īny number of time periods can be used, but the 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200, are among the most popular. What are Simple and Exponential Moving Averages? Today’s charting software makes it easy to display moving averages as lines on our charts, and they can help us to identify trends, likely areas of support and resistance, and even reversal points.īut to use them to maximum advantage, it’s essential to understand what they are and how they work. Moving averages – both Simple and Exponential – are among the most popular and effective when developing a trading strategy. Swing traders use many indicators to help them assess potential trade opportunities.
